Глава 24. Прострация от экстраполяции

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Глава 24. Прострация от экстраполяции

1. См.: http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/hfaq.html.

2. Richard Roll, “Rational Infinitively-Lived Asset Prices Must Be Non-Stationary”, Working Paper, November 1, 2000; Bradford Cornell, The Equity Risk Premium: The Long-Run Future of the Stock Market (New York: Wiley, 1999), 45–55; Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, “The Equity Premium”, Journal of Finance 57 (2002): 637–59; Jonathan Lewellen, “Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios”, MIT Sloan Working Paper 4374–02, February 2002.

3. Kenneth L. Fisher and Meir Statman, “Cognitive Biases in Market Forecasts: The Frailty of Forecasting”, The Journal of Portfolio Management 27, no. 1 (Fall 2000): 72–81.

4. Alfred Rappaport, “How to Avoid P/E Trap”, Wall Street Journal, March 10, 2003.

5. Cornell, The Equity Risk Premium, 59.

6. См.: http://www.econ.yale.edu/?shiller/.

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